Front Runners

Enjoy Illinois 300 at World Wide Technology Raceway (aka Gateway)

Front Runners highlights the drivers that lead laps, run fast laps, and run inside the top 10, 5, & 3 the most at correlated track types.

Handicapping Gateway presents a new challenge for 2023. The track is a 1.25-mile egg shaped oval, with limited banking and low tire wear. This might lead some to look to the short flat tracks for correlation. In 2022 however there wasn’t particularly meaningful correlation between those tracks and Gateway. In fact, in some cases there was more correlation between the 1.5-mil intermediate tracks. Further complicating matters is that as the track is over 1 mile in length, NASCAR is running the intermediate package, not the short track package used at Phoenix, Richmond, and Martinsville. Conversely, Goodyear will be bringing the same tire as it did to the higher wear short tracks of Phoenix, Richmond, and North Wilkesboro.

Given this blend of equipment its hard to say exactly which tracks will be relevant this weekend. To that end I have updated Front Runners to have four datasets. First, 2022 Gateway only. Second, 2022 Gateway and the next five races which used the same tire code. Third, 2022 Gateway and the following three 2022 races using the same tire code (which would be with the intermediate package since there was no short track package in 2022). Finally, the two 2023 races using the same tire code.

The charts below are sorted by percentage of laps led by default. There are also a few more columns that you can choose to display, including number of finishes inside the Top 10, 5, 3, and wins as well as total laps completed but for ease of display those columns are hidden by default.

Laps run inside the Top 10, 5, 3, and led as percentage laps driver completed at World Wide Technology Raceway (aka Gateway) (2022)

wdt_ID Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10 % T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3 % Wins Led LL % Fast Laps FL % Laps Run % Laps Run
1 Kyle Busch 1 1 235 95.92 1 166 67.76 1 151 61.63 0 65 26.53 46 25.41 245 100.00
2 Martin Truex Jr 1 1 144 58.78 0 62 25.31 0 50 20.41 0 42 17.14 16 8.84 245 100.00
3 Michael McDowell 1 0 112 45.71 0 36 14.69 0 35 14.29 0 34 13.88 4 2.21 245 100.00
4 Chase Briscoe 1 0 69 28.16 0 28 11.43 0 27 11.02 0 27 11.02 7 3.87 245 100.00
5 Austin Cindric 1 0 181 73.88 0 94 38.37 0 67 27.35 0 25 10.20 4 2.21 245 100.00
6 Joey Logano 1 1 158 64.49 1 96 39.18 1 91 37.14 1 22 8.98 20 11.05 245 100.00
7 Ryan Blaney 1 1 195 79.59 1 167 68.16 0 118 48.16 0 12 4.90 38 20.99 245 100.00
8 Erik Jones 1 1 151 61.63 0 58 23.67 0 7 2.86 0 4 1.63 0 0.00 245 100.00
9 Brad Keselowski 1 0 2 0.82 0 1 0.41 0 1 0.41 0 1 0.41 0 0.00 245 100.00
10 AJ Allmendinger 1 1 14 5.71 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
11 Alex Bowman 1 0 45 18.37 0 8 3.27 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
12 Aric Almirola 1 1 238 97.14 1 135 55.10 0 84 34.29 0 0 0.00 4 2.21 245 100.00
13 Austin Dillon 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
14 BJ McLeod 1 0 1 0.41 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
15 Bubba Wallace 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
16 Carson Hocevar 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
17 Chris Buescher 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
18 Christopher Bell 1 1 164 66.94 0 70 28.57 0 8 3.27 0 0 0.00 12 6.63 245 100.00
19 Corey LaJoie 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 72 29.39
20 Daniel Suarez 1 0 84 34.29 0 7 2.86 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.55 245 100.00
21 Denny Hamlin 1 0 63 25.71 0 54 22.04 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 2 1.10 234 95.51
22 Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
23 Harrison Burton 1 0 12 4.90 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
24 JJ Yeley 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
25 Justin Haley 1 0 7 2.86 0 4 1.63 0 1 0.41 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
26 Kevin Harvick 1 0 27 11.02 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 235 95.92
27 Kyle Larson 1 0 48 19.59 0 17 6.94 0 7 2.86 0 0 0.00 1 0.55 245 100.00
28 Noah Gragson 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr 1 0 9 3.67 0 3 1.22 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 2 1.10 241 98.37
30 Ross Chastain 1 1 143 58.37 0 53 21.63 0 6 2.45 0 0 0.00 16 8.84 245 100.00
31 Ryan Preece 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
32 Todd Gilliland 1 0 3 1.22 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
33 Ty Dillon 1 0 9 3.67 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
34 Ty Gibbs 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
35 Tyler Reddick 1 0 123 50.20 0 100 40.82 0 63 25.71 0 0 0.00 4 2.21 245 100.00
36 William Byron 1 0 10 4.08 0 2 0.82 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 245 100.00
Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10 % T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3 % Wins Led LL % Fast Laps FL % Laps Run % Laps Run

Laps run inside the Top 10, 5, 3, and led as percentage of laps driver completed at 2022 Gateway, 2022 New Hampshire, 2022 Richmond 2, 2022 Phoenix 2, 2023 Phoenix 1, 2023 Richmond 1

wdt_ID Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %
1 Joey Logano 6 4 1,253 63.48 2 887 44.93 2 743 37.64 2 455 23.05 120 7.22 1,974 99.95
2 Kyle Larson 6 3 1,551 78.61 2 1,204 61.02 1 978 49.57 1 305 15.46 142 8.54 1,973 99.90
3 Martin Truex Jr 6 3 1,239 62.73 1 684 34.63 0 451 22.84 0 270 13.67 113 6.80 1,975 100.00
4 William Byron 6 2 1,225 62.03 1 881 44.61 1 619 31.34 1 181 9.16 128 7.70 1,975 100.00
5 Ryan Blaney 6 4 1,209 61.28 3 642 32.54 2 417 21.14 0 122 6.18 134 8.06 1,973 99.90
6 Ross Chastain 6 4 1,229 62.29 2 530 26.86 2 281 14.24 0 96 4.87 77 4.63 1,973 99.90
7 Denny Hamlin 6 3 1,147 58.40 1 649 33.04 0 423 21.54 0 94 4.79 75 4.51 1,964 99.44
8 Kevin Harvick 6 5 1,515 77.10 5 810 41.22 1 381 19.39 1 91 4.63 134 8.06 1,965 99.49
9 Christopher Bell 6 6 1,393 70.53 3 688 34.84 2 281 14.23 1 68 3.44 119 7.16 1,975 100.00
10 Kyle Busch 6 4 732 37.06 1 213 10.78 1 157 7.95 0 66 3.34 61 3.67 1,975 100.00
11 Chase Briscoe 6 2 752 38.15 1 396 20.09 0 222 11.26 0 45 2.28 55 3.31 1,971 99.80
12 Michael McDowell 6 1 178 9.05 0 60 3.05 0 50 2.54 0 34 1.73 8 0.48 1,967 99.59
13 Austin Cindric 6 0 413 20.94 0 138 7.00 0 77 3.90 0 26 1.32 14 0.84 1,972 99.85
14 Erik Jones 6 1 248 13.69 0 91 5.02 0 32 1.77 0 18 0.99 12 0.72 1,812 91.75
15 Alex Bowman 6 2 595 35.67 0 246 14.75 0 30 1.80 0 9 0.54 42 2.53 1,668 84.46
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr 6 0 69 3.54 0 37 1.90 0 15 0.77 0 6 0.31 27 1.62 1,947 98.58
17 Brad Keselowski 6 2 880 45.55 0 191 9.89 0 13 0.67 0 3 0.16 23 1.38 1,932 97.82
18 Harrison Burton 6 0 75 3.82 0 14 0.71 0 7 0.36 0 3 0.15 2 0.12 1,964 99.44
19 AJ Allmendinger 5 1 23 1.46 0 2 0.13 0 2 0.13 0 1 0.06 19 1.14 1,573 79.65
20 Justin Haley 6 0 9 0.46 0 5 0.25 0 2 0.10 0 1 0.05 2 0.12 1,969 99.70
21 Bubba Wallace 6 1 319 16.17 1 145 7.35 1 108 5.47 0 1 0.05 15 0.90 1,973 99.90
22 Austin Dillon 6 0 3 0.15 0 2 0.10 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 14 0.84 1,972 99.85
23 Daniel Suarez 6 1 232 11.76 0 14 0.71 0 5 0.25 0 0 0.00 19 1.14 1,972 99.85
24 Tyler Reddick 6 1 665 33.81 1 287 14.59 1 87 4.42 0 0 0.00 26 1.56 1,967 99.59
25 Todd Gilliland 6 0 20 1.02 0 7 0.36 0 4 0.20 0 0 0.00 1 0.06 1,965 99.49
26 Aric Almirola 6 2 721 36.94 1 213 10.91 0 84 4.30 0 0 0.00 39 2.35 1,952 98.84
27 Chris Buescher 5 1 361 20.90 1 165 9.55 1 139 8.05 0 0 0.00 71 4.27 1,727 87.44
28 Ty Dillon 6 0 12 0.72 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 9 0.54 1,672 84.66
29 Corey LaJoie 6 0 3 0.19 0 2 0.13 0 1 0.06 0 0 0.00 8 0.48 1,585 80.25
30 JJ Yeley 3 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 8 0.48 1,075 54.43
31 Noah Gragson 3 0 13 1.28 0 8 0.79 0 4 0.39 0 0 0.00 7 0.42 1,016 51.44
32 BJ McLeod 5 0 1 0.10 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 998 50.53
33 Ty Gibbs 3 1 131 14.62 0 7 0.78 0 6 0.67 0 0 0.00 8 0.48 896 45.37
34 Ryan Preece 2 0 62 8.65 0 2 0.28 0 1 0.14 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 717 36.30
35 Carson Hocevar 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
36 Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %

Laps run inside the Top 10, 5, 3, and led as percentage of laps driver completed at 2022 Gateway, 2022 New Hampshire, 2022 Richmond 2, 2022 Phoenix

wdt_ID Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %
1 Joey Logano 4 3 1,134 90.21 2 843 67.06 2 740 58.87 2 455 36.20 108 10.28 1,257 99.92
2 Martin Truex Jr 4 3 942 74.88 1 494 39.27 0 309 24.56 0 214 17.01 92 8.75 1,258 100.00
3 Ryan Blaney 4 3 871 69.29 2 606 48.21 1 402 31.98 0 122 9.71 107 10.18 1,257 99.92
4 Ross Chastain 4 3 605 48.17 1 224 17.83 1 112 8.92 0 79 6.29 52 4.95 1,256 99.84
5 Kyle Busch 4 3 568 45.15 1 180 14.31 1 154 12.24 0 65 5.17 53 5.04 1,258 100.00
6 Kevin Harvick 4 3 921 73.80 3 504 40.38 1 223 17.87 1 55 4.41 72 6.85 1,248 99.21
7 Chase Briscoe 4 1 546 43.54 1 395 31.50 0 222 17.70 0 45 3.59 46 4.38 1,254 99.68
8 Christopher Bell 4 4 730 58.03 2 242 19.24 2 107 8.51 1 42 3.34 85 8.09 1,258 100.00
9 Michael McDowell 4 0 112 8.96 0 36 2.88 0 35 2.80 0 34 2.72 5 0.48 1,250 99.36
10 Austin Cindric 4 0 379 30.15 0 138 10.98 0 77 6.13 0 26 2.07 13 1.24 1,257 99.92
11 Denny Hamlin 4 3 585 46.91 1 383 30.71 0 235 18.85 0 23 1.84 43 4.09 1,247 99.13
12 Kyle Larson 4 1 837 66.64 0 608 48.41 0 431 34.32 0 11 0.88 55 5.23 1,256 99.84
13 Ricky Stenhouse Jr 4 0 36 2.89 0 24 1.93 0 14 1.12 0 6 0.48 18 1.71 1,246 99.05
14 Erik Jones 4 1 219 19.96 0 67 6.11 0 12 1.09 0 4 0.36 0 0.00 1,097 87.20
15 Harrison Burton 4 0 75 5.98 0 14 1.12 0 7 0.56 0 3 0.24 1 0.10 1,254 99.68
16 AJ Allmendinger 3 1 23 2.68 0 2 0.23 0 2 0.23 0 1 0.12 17 1.62 857 68.12
17 Alex Bowman 4 0 127 13.35 0 11 1.16 0 2 0.21 0 1 0.11 32 3.04 951 75.60
18 Brad Keselowski 4 1 255 20.99 0 67 5.51 0 1 0.08 0 1 0.08 10 0.95 1,215 96.58
19 Justin Haley 4 0 9 0.72 0 5 0.40 0 2 0.16 0 1 0.08 2 0.19 1,254 99.68
20 William Byron 4 1 534 42.45 0 202 16.06 0 22 1.75 0 0 0.00 30 2.85 1,258 100.00
21 Bubba Wallace 4 1 289 23.01 1 140 11.15 1 105 8.36 0 0 0.00 13 1.24 1,256 99.84
22 Austin Dillon 4 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 14 1.33 1,256 99.84
23 Daniel Suarez 4 1 108 8.61 0 12 0.96 0 3 0.24 0 0 0.00 15 1.43 1,255 99.76
24 Todd Gilliland 4 0 4 0.32 0 1 0.08 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.10 1,251 99.44
25 Tyler Reddick 4 0 260 20.80 0 100 8.00 0 63 5.04 0 0 0.00 4 0.38 1,250 99.36
26 Aric Almirola 4 2 668 53.91 1 211 17.03 0 84 6.78 0 0 0.00 34 3.24 1,239 98.49
27 Chris Buescher 3 1 309 30.53 1 164 16.21 1 139 13.74 0 0 0.00 29 2.76 1,012 80.45
28 Ty Dillon 4 0 12 1.25 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 2 0.19 959 76.23
29 BJ McLeod 4 0 1 0.11 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 948 75.36
30 Corey LaJoie 4 0 3 0.35 0 2 0.23 0 1 0.12 0 0 0.00 5 0.48 869 69.08
31 JJ Yeley 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 7 0.67 692 55.01
32 Noah Gragson 1 0 13 3.27 0 8 2.02 0 4 1.01 0 0 0.00 6 0.57 397 31.56
33 Ty Gibbs 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 180 14.31
34 Ryan Preece 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
35 Carson Hocevar 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
36 Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %

Laps run inside the Top 10, 5, 3, and led as percentage of laps driver completed at 2023 Phoenix 1 and 2023 Richmond 1

wdt_ID Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %
1 Kyle Larson 2 2 714 99.58 2 596 83.12 1 547 76.29 1 294 41.00 87 14.24 717 100.00
2 William Byron 2 1 691 96.37 1 679 94.70 1 597 83.26 1 181 25.24 98 16.04 717 100.00
3 Denny Hamlin 2 0 562 78.38 0 266 37.10 0 188 26.22 0 71 9.90 32 5.24 717 100.00
4 Martin Truex Jr 2 0 297 41.42 0 190 26.50 0 142 19.80 0 56 7.81 21 3.44 717 100.00
5 Kevin Harvick 2 2 594 82.85 2 306 42.68 0 158 22.04 0 36 5.02 62 10.15 717 100.00
6 Christopher Bell 2 2 663 92.47 1 446 62.20 0 174 24.27 0 26 3.63 34 5.56 717 100.00
7 Ross Chastain 2 1 624 87.03 1 306 42.68 1 169 23.57 0 17 2.37 25 4.09 717 100.00
8 Erik Jones 2 0 29 4.06 0 24 3.36 0 20 2.80 0 14 1.96 12 1.96 715 99.72
9 Alex Bowman 2 2 468 65.27 0 235 32.78 0 28 3.91 0 8 1.12 10 1.64 717 100.00
10 Brad Keselowski 2 1 625 87.17 0 124 17.29 0 12 1.67 0 2 0.28 13 2.13 717 100.00
11 Kyle Busch 2 1 164 22.87 0 33 4.60 0 3 0.42 0 1 0.14 8 1.31 717 100.00
12 Bubba Wallace 2 0 30 4.18 0 5 0.70 0 3 0.42 0 1 0.14 2 0.33 717 100.00
13 Joey Logano 2 1 119 16.60 0 44 6.14 0 3 0.42 0 0 0.00 12 1.96 717 100.00
14 Chase Briscoe 2 1 206 28.73 0 1 0.14 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 9 1.47 717 100.00
15 Michael McDowell 2 1 66 9.21 0 24 3.35 0 15 2.09 0 0 0.00 3 0.49 717 100.00
16 Daniel Suarez 2 0 124 17.29 0 2 0.28 0 2 0.28 0 0 0.00 4 0.65 717 100.00
17 Tyler Reddick 2 1 405 56.49 1 187 26.08 1 24 3.35 0 0 0.00 22 3.60 717 100.00
18 Ryan Preece 2 0 62 8.65 0 2 0.28 0 1 0.14 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 717 100.00
19 Ryan Blaney 2 1 338 47.21 1 36 5.03 1 15 2.09 0 0 0.00 27 4.42 716 99.86
20 AJ Allmendinger 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 2 0.33 716 99.86
21 Austin Dillon 2 0 3 0.42 0 2 0.28 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 716 99.86
22 Corey LaJoie 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 3 0.49 716 99.86
23 Ty Gibbs 2 1 131 18.30 0 7 0.98 0 6 0.84 0 0 0.00 8 1.31 716 99.86
24 Austin Cindric 2 0 34 4.76 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.16 715 99.72
25 Justin Haley 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 715 99.72
26 Chris Buescher 2 0 52 7.27 0 1 0.14 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 42 6.87 715 99.72
27 Todd Gilliland 2 0 16 2.24 0 6 0.84 0 4 0.56 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 714 99.58
28 Aric Almirola 2 0 53 7.43 0 2 0.28 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 5 0.82 713 99.44
29 Ty Dillon 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 7 1.15 713 99.44
30 Harrison Burton 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.16 710 99.02
31 Ricky Stenhouse Jr 2 0 33 4.71 0 13 1.85 0 1 0.14 0 0 0.00 9 1.47 701 97.77
32 Noah Gragson 2 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.16 619 86.33
33 JJ Yeley 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 1 0.16 383 53.42
34 BJ McLeod 1 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 50 6.97
35 Carson Hocevar 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
36 Gray Gaulding 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Driver Races T10 Fin T10 Laps T10% T5 Fin T5 Laps T5% T3 Fin T3 Laps T3% Wins Led LL% Fast Laps FL% Laps Laps Run %

Thanks for checking out the Front Runners! Let’s WIN THE RACE!

Greg Matherne

Director of Betting Content, WIN THE RACE. NASCAR DFS & Betting.