WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the Truck Series and Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.
If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.
Without further delay, let’s dive into Gateway and Portland!
Race Info and Trends
Available Dominator Points
72 pts – Fastest Laps
40 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 65, 55, 32, 10
2022 – 43, 40, 20, 16, 13, 12, 9, 8, 4
2021 – 142, 19, 2
Fastest Laps
2023 – 37, 23, 14, 4 or fewer (7 drivers)
2022 – 24, 13, 12, 12, 9 or fewer (11 drivers)
2021 – 52, 11, 9 or fewer (12 drivers)
Cautions – 11, 11, 8 – Avg. 10
DNFs – 5, 9, 10 – Avg. 8
Avg Green Flag Run – 10.8 laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 45.72
2023 – 45.33
2022 – 46.00
2021 – 45.83
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 67.8%
2023 – 46.3% (75/162)
2022 – 69.7% (115/165)
2021 – 87.1% (142/163)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 48.1%
2023 – 30.0% (27/90)
2022 – 51.5% (52/101)
2021 – 59.0% (69/117)
Available Dominator Points
33.75 pts – Fastest Laps
18.75 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 47, 23, 5, 2
2022 – 42, 19, 6, 4, 3, 1
Fastest Laps
2023 – 13, 10, 8 or fewer (12 drivers)
2022 – 26, 4 or fewer (8 drivers)
Cautions – 5, 9 – Avg. 7
DNFs – 7, 12 – Avg. 9.5
Avg Green Flag Run – 8.1 Laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver in Winning Lineup – Avg. 49.84
2023 – 47.67
2022 – 52.00
% of Laps Led per Race in Winning Lineup – Avg. 78.3%
2023 – 67.5% (52/77)
2022 – 89.3% (67/75)
% of Fastest Laps per Race in Winning Lineup – Avg. 46.9%
2023 – 28.8% (17/59)
2022 – 74.4% (29/39)
Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Lineup Construction Strategy
Trucks
- General Thoughts
- Caution-filled races
- Last two races run during daytime
- Dominator points have been more spread out
- Since 2016, seven of eight winners started 10th or better
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- 1 or 2 Dominators
- Best Place Differential options
- Tournaments
- Top Dominator a must
- Maybe 1 or 2 secondary
- High-finish position upside
- 1 or 2 lower-owned drivers
- Top Dominator a must
Xfinity
- General Thoughts
- First two races have been chaotic
- 2022 – Rain
- 2023 – Late caution, dive-bombing to first turn
- Live pit stops this year
- First two races have been chaotic
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Maybe 1 dominator, but depends on place differential options
- Place differential options highest priority
- Tournaments
- Trying to soak up as many dominator points as possible
- Try to get one lower-owned driver
That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Truck and Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the Truck Series and Xfinity Series races this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. If you liked what you read or if you have feedback on how we can make this article better, please reach out to us. Good luck!