WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the Truck Series and Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.
If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.
Without further delay, let’s dive into Nashville!
Race Info and Trends
Available Dominator Points
67.5 pts – Fastest Laps
37.5 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 57, 40, 37, 11, 3, 1, 1
2022 – 74, 70, 4, 2
2021 – 48, 48, 39, 8, 5, 2
Fastest Laps
2023 – 29, 25, 13, 10 or fewer (9 drivers)
2022 – 41, 34, 8 or fewer (6 drivers)
2021 – 16, 15, 13, 12, 11, 8 or fewer (14 drivers)
Cautions – 7, 8, 5 – Avg. 6.7
DNFs – 4, 6, 2 – Avg. 4
Avg Green Flag Run – 15.2 laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 46.67
2023 – 42.17
2022 – 46.83
2021 – 51.00
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 55.6%
2023 – 59.3% (89/150)
2022 – 98.7% (148/150)
2021 – 8.7% (13/150)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 60.1%
2023 – 76.8% (76/99)
2022 – 80.4% (78/97)
2021 – 28.7% (33/115)
Available Dominator Points
84.6 pts – Fastest Laps
47 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 74, 32, 28, 25, 22, 6, 3, 3, 1, 1, 1
2022 – 134, 48, 4, 1, 1
2021 – 122, 53, 11, 2, 1
Fastest Laps
2023 – 26, 23, 18, 16, 15, 11 or fewer (8 drivers)
2022 – 79, 16, 13, 12, 9 or fewer (6 drivers)
2021 – 69, 23, 14, 10 or fewer (8 drivers)
Cautions – 11, 5, 8 – Avg. 8
DNFs – 6, 5, 6 – Avg. 5.7
Avg Green Flag Run – 18.1 laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 48.89
2023 – 54.67
2022 – 49.17
2021 – 42.83
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 52.4%
2023 – 16.8% (33/196)
2022 – 71.3% (134/188)
2021 – 70.4% (133/189)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 56.0%
2023 – 39.4% (50/127)
2022 – 54.2% (84/155)
2021 – 73.9% (99/134)
Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Lineup Construction Strategy
Trucks
- General Thoughts
- Track is run like an intermediate-style track
- Clean air is King
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Top dominator
- Any obvious place differential plays
- Possibly a 2nd dominator OR drivers with high finishing position upside
- Tournaments
- Likely Top 2 Dominators needed
- Any obvious place differential plays
- In tie-breaker situation:
- Would favor finishing position point upside OVER place differential
- Targetting drivers starting mid-field
Xfinity
- General Thoughts
- Track is run like an intermediate-style track
- Cautions seem to happen in bunches, typically in final stage
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Likely want the Top dominator
- Obvious place differential plays
- Tournaments
- Top dominator a must
- A bit more balanced lineups instead of stars and scrubs
- Obvious place differential plays
- Targetting high finishing position upside
That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Truck and Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the Truck Series and Xfinity Series races this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. If you liked what you read or if you have feedback on how we can make this article better, please reach out to us. Good luck!
