Race Day Strategies – Trucks/Xfinity – Bristol

WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the Truck Series and Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.

If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.

Without further delay, let’s dive into Bristol!

Race Info and Trends

Available Dominator Points
90 pts – Fastest Laps
50 pts – Laps Led

Lap Leaders
2024 #1 – 144, 105, 1
2023 – 150, 43, 6, 1
2022 – 89, 45, 39, 27
2021 – 189, 6, 5

Fastest Laps
2024 #1 – 55, 39, 20, 14, 8 or less (17 Drivers)
2023 – 45, 17, 12, 11 or less (17 Drivers)
2022 – 39, 23, 20, 13, 6 or less (15 Drivers)
2021 – 61, 12, 6 or less (11 Drivers)

Cautions – 6, 4, 6, 11 – Avg. 6.8

DNFs – 3, 3, 5, 15 – Avg. 6.5

Avg Green Flag Runs – 23.3 Laps

PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning LineupAvg. 44.50
2024 #1 – 44.50
2023 – 47.50
2022 – 48.83
2021 – 37.17

% of Laps Led per Race by Winning LineupAvg. 68.0%
2024 #1 – 57.6% (144/250)
2023 – 75.0% (150/200)
2022 – 42.0% (84/200)
2021 – 100.0% (200/200)

% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning LineupAvg. 51.8%
2024 #1 – 46.6% (90/193)
2023 – 55.9% (90/161)
2022 – 36.7% (52/143)
2021 – 76.7% (79/103)

Available Dominator Points
135 pts – Fastest Laps
75 pts – Laps Led

Lap Leaders
2023 – 110, 109, 47, 33, 1
2022 – 148, 89, 34, 25, 4
2021 – 92, 78, 75, 49, 7, 4, 1

Fastest Laps
2023 – 63, 34, 28, 20, 18, 16, 10 or fewer (15 Drivers)
2022 – 43, 40, 33, 24, 20, 17, 12 or fewer (15 Drivers)
2021 – 41, 39, 33, 28, 14 or fewer (12 Drivers)

Cautions – 6, 8, 10 – Avg. 8

DNFs – 8, 6, 6 – Avg. 6.8

Avg Green Flag Runs – 28.1 Laps

PD+FP Pts per Driver in Winning LineupAvg. 43.39
2023 – 47.67
2022 – 41.83
2021 – 40.67

% of Laps Led per Race in Winning LineupAvg. 71.7%
2023 – 84.0% (252/300)
2022 – 59.0% (177/300)
2021 – 72.0% (216/300)

% of Fastest Laps per Race in Winning LineupAvg. 42.3%
2023 – 41.0% (100/244)
2022 – 41.2% (96/233)
2021 – 44.8% (100/223)

Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Roster Construction Strategy
  • General Thoughts
    • 2nd race of Round of 10
    • Long race in terms of laps
      • Priority on Dominator Points
  • Cash
    • Qualifying-dependent
    • Typically a primary dominator
    • Place differential
  • Tournaments
    • Primary dominator a must
    • Place differential with high finishing position upside
    • 1 or 2 cheap drivers with high finishing position upside respective of price
  • General Thoughts
    • Last race of the Xfinity regular season
    • Long race in terms of laps
      • Priority on Dominator Points
  • Cash
    • Qualifying-dependent
    • Will need primary dominator, maybe 2 dominators
    • Place differential
    • Maybe 1 driver with high finish position upside starting mid-field
  • Tournaments
    • Primary Dominator a must, maybe 1 or 2 secondary
    • Place differential
    • OK to take risk on low-owned driver w/high finish upside with minimal place differential upside

That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Trucks & Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the Trucks & Xfinity Series race this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. Not a member? Sign up today and get 50% off your first month or week of your Monthly or Weekly subscription! Good luck!