WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the Truck Series and Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.
If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.
Without further delay, let’s dive into Homestead!
Race Info and Trends
Available Dominator Points
60.3 pts – Fastest Laps
33.5 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 57, 34, 22, 11, 5, 4, 1
2022 – 67, 37, 26, 2, 2
Fastest Laps
2023 – 25, 19, 19, 14, 11 or fewer (8 drivers)
2022 – 43, 21, 13, 13, 11 or fewer (7 drivers)
Cautions – 5, 2 – Avg. 3.5
DNFs – 2, 1 – Avg. 1.3
Avg Green Flag Run – 29.4 laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 44.67
2023 – 44.33
2022 – 45.00
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 54.5%
2023 – 59.0% (79/134)
2022 – 50.0% (67/134)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 40.9%
2023 – 27.3% (27/99)
2022 – 52.1% (63/121)
Available Dominator Points
90 pts – Fastest Laps
50 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2023 – 114, 46, 21, 8, 7, 4
2022 – 127, 46, 19, 3, 3, 1, 1
Fastest Laps
2023 – 27, 24, 17, 15, 13, 10 or less (15 Drivers)
2022 – 29, 25, 17, 15, 13, 12, 11 or less (13 Drivers)
Cautions – 6, 4 – Avg. 5.0
DNFs – 8, 5 – Avg. 6.5
Avg. Green Flag Run – 29.6 Laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 45.33
2023 – 47.83
2022 – 42.83
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 48.8%
2023 – 33.5% (67/200)
2022 – 64.0% (128/200)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 29.1%
2023 – 30.2% (48/159)
2022 – 28.1% (48/171)
Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Roster Construction Strategy
Trucks
- General Thoughts
- 2nd of 3 playoff races in Round of 8
- Grant Enfinger locked into Championship 4
- High-tire wear and multi-groove racing
- Possibility of differing strategies with tires depending on timing of cautions in last stage
- 2nd of 3 playoff races in Round of 8
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Place differential
- Probably one dominator, depending on place differential options
- Tournaments
- Primary dominator
- Place differential
- Fill in with low-owned drivers to exceed value, price compared to finishing position
Xfinity
- General Thoughts
- 2nd of 3 playoff races in the Round of 8
- AJ Allmendinger already locked into Championship 4
- High-tire wear and multi-groove racing
- Possibility of differing strategies with tires depending on timing of cautions in last stage
- 2nd of 3 playoff races in the Round of 8
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Place differential
- Probably one dominator, depending on place differential options
- Not afraid to finish lineup with a high-finishing position upside driver if lack of place differential options
- Tournaments
- Primary dominator a must
- Place differential
- Fill in with low-owned drivers to exceed value, price compared to finishing position
That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Trucks & Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the Trucks & Xfinity Series race this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. Not a member? Sign up today and get 50% off your first month or week of your Monthly or Weekly subscription! Good luck!
