WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the NASCAR Truck Series and NASCAR Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.
If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.
Without further delay, let’s dive into Vegas!
Race Info and Trends
Available Dominator Points
90.45 pts – Fastest Laps
50.25 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2024 #1 – 99, 74, 11, 10, 6
2023 #2 – 103, 62, 23, 11, 1, 1
2023 #1 – 118, 45, 19, 10, 4, 2, 1, 1
2022 #2 – 87, 65, 30, 7, 5, 3, 2, 1, 1
2022 #1 – 62, 52, 32, 25, 13, 6, 5, 3, 2
2021 #2 – 90, 38, 33, 20, 17, 2, 1
2021 #1 – 74, 44, 43, 28, 5, 4, 2
Fastest Laps
2024 #1 – 54, 44, 21, 13, 10, 6 or less (8 Drivers)
2023 #2 – 65, 28, 24, 17, 9 or less (8 Drivers)
2023 #1 – 38, 31, 26, 18, 16, 9 or less (14 Drivers)
2022 #2 – 60, 43, 24, 14, 11, 10, 8 or less (7 Drivers)
2022 #1 – 35, 25, 24, 8 or less (12 Drivers)
2021 #2 – 36, 29, 26, 17, 14, 9 or less (8 Drivers)
2021 #1 – 37, 32, 27, 20, 10, 3 or less (12 Drivers)
Cautions – 4, 5, 4, 3, 11, 6, 8 – Avg. 5.9
DNFs – 4, 6, 1, 3, 8, 10, 7 – Avg. 5.6
Avg. Green Flag Run – 28.7 Laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 43.81
2024 #1 – 45.17
2023 #2 – 44.83
2023 #1 – 42.17
2022 #2 – 40.83
2022 #1 – 43.50
2021 #2 – 46.83
2021 #1 – 43.33
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 80.5%
2024 #1 – 92.0% (184/200)
2023 #2 – 82.6% (166/201)
2023 #1 – 74.0% (148/200)
2022 #2 – 91.0% (183/201)
2022 #1 – 60.0% (120/200)
2021 #2 – 88.6% (178/201)
2021 #1 – 75.5% (151/200)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 55.6%
2024 #1 – 63.5% (108/170)
2023 #2 – 65.7% (111/169)
2023 #1 – 51.4% (89/173)
2022 #2 – 70.3% (128/182)
2022 #1 – 67.2% (84/125)
2021 #2 – 61.3% (98/160)
2021 #1 – 73.3% (107/146)
Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Roster Construction Strategy
- General Thoughts
- Xfinity Playoff Race – 1st race of the Round of 8
- Typically calmer race with long green flag runs
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- Typically one expected top dominator
- Place differential
- Potential options for last driver in
- Second dominator depending on place differential options
- Value play in terms of finishing position compared to price
- Tournaments
- 2 to 3 dominators likely
- Grab as many laps led points as possible, fastest laps will follow
- Stars and Scrubs lineup construction seems to prevail, especially in Vegas playoff races
- Punts are typically lowed who well exceed value
That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the NASCAR Xfinity Series race this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. Not a member? Sign up today and get 50% off your first month or week of your Monthly or Weekly subscription! Good luck!
