Race Day Strategies – Xfinity – Michigan

WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the NASCAR Truck Series and NASCAR Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.

If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.

Without further delay, let’s dive into Michigan!

Race Trends and Info

Available Dominator Points
56.25 pts – Fastest Laps
31.25 pts – Laps Led

Lap Leaders
2023 – 65, 32, 22, 4, 1, 1
2022 – 54, 39, 17, 7, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1
2021 – 70, 24, 23, 12, 9, 1

Fastest Laps
2023 – 36, 16, 12, 9 or fewer (5 drivers)
2022 – 28, 23, 23, 16, 8 or fewer (3 drivers)
2021 – 25, 13, 11, 9 or fewer (7 drivers)

Cautions – 7, 4, 9 – Avg. 6.7

DNFs – 4, 4, 9 – Avg. 5.7

Avg Green Flag Run – 14.1 Laps

PD+FP Pts per Driver in Winning LineupAvg. 42.56
2023 – 45.67
2022 – 34.67
2021 – 47.33

% of Laps Led per Race in Winning LineupAvg. 75.1%
2023 – 69.6% (87/125)
2022 – 88.8% (111/125)
2021 – 67.6% (94/139)

% of Fastest Laps per Race in Winning LineupAvg. 53.1%
2023 – 43.0% (37/86)
2022 – 66.3% (67/101)
2021 – 47.7% (41/86)

Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Roster Construction Strategy
  • General Thoughts
    • Rain in forecast for Saturday and Sunday
    • Running Superspeedway engine but Intermediate aero package, similar to Indy
  • Cash
    • Qualifying dependent
    • Typically 1, maybe 2 potential dominators
    • Place differential
    • Won’t shy away from a driver or two starting mid-pack who could move up some
  • Tournaments
    • Stars and Scrubs approach has won last three years
    • 2 or 3 potential domiantors
    • 1 or 2 punts below $6K
    • 1 lower-owned driver (sub 15%) with good finishing upside

That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the NASCAR Xfinity Series race this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. Not a member? Sign up today and get 50% off your first month or week of your Monthly or Weekly subscription! Good luck!