WTR Fam! Welcome to another edition of Race Day Strategies, covering the Truck Series and Xfinity Series from a DFS strategy perspective. In this article, we will lay out past trends from previous relevant races, show the winning lineups for the flagship GPPs of those races, and give a high-level look at possible lineup construction based on this info and track type.
If you have not done so already, I would encourage you to read our NASCAR DFS Strategy Primer as this article will often piggyback on the strategies mentioned there. I will also say, as I mentioned in our primer, that these strategies are meant to be guardrails and not rules that are set in stone. Practice and Qualifying play a crucial role in dictating final strategy and builds. As this article is released mid-week, we encourage all members to check out our Discord for more discussions on strategy after the results of practice and qualifying are known.
Without further delay, let’s dive into Martinsville!
Race Info and Trends
Available Dominator Points
90 pts – Fastest Laps
50 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2024 #1 – 133, 66, 1
2023 – 82, 37, 5
2022 – 94, 55, 47, 2, 1, 1
Fastest Laps
2024 #1 – 58, 28, 7 or fewer (7 drivers)
2023 – 20, 12, 9, 3 or fewer (7 drivers)
2022 – 31, 27, 26, 11, 5 or fewer (10 drivers)
Cautions – 11, 6, 11 – Avg. 9.3
DNFs – 6, 0, 6 – Avg. 4.0
Avg Green Flag Run – 10.3 Laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver for Winning Lineup – Avg. 45.45
2024 #1 – 44.50
2023 – 42.67
2022 – 49.17
% of Laps Led per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 87.6%
2024 #1 – 99.5% (199/200)
2023 – 96.0% (119/124)
2022 – 70.5% (141/200)
% of Fastest Laps per Race by Winning Lineup – Avg. 67.5%
2024 #1 – 84.9% (90/106)
2023 – 63.0% (34/54)
2022 – 53.8% (63/117)
Available Dominator Points
112.5 pts – Fastest Laps
62.5 pts – Laps Led
Lap Leaders
2024 #1 – 148, 42, 27, 14, 11, 5, 3, 1
2023 #2 – 147. 54, 22, 21, 9, 1, 1, 1
2023 #1 – 198, 27, 8, 6, 6, 5
2022 #2 – 102, 98, 40, 23, 5, 1
2022 #1 – 197, 28, 23, 6, 5, 1, 1
2021 #2 – 153, 64, 18, 16, 4, 2
2021 #1 – 95, 52, 28, 28, 16, 12, 7, 7, 5
Fastest Laps
2024 #1 – 50, 27, 25, 16, 13, 13, 11 or fewer (6 drivers)
2023 #2 – 68, 23, 13, 13, 7 or fewer (6 drivers)
2023 #1 – 62, 26, 21, 18, 7 or fewer (11 drivers)
2022 #2 – 71, 35, 30, 9 or fewer (9 drivers)
2022 #1 – 80, 24, 17, 9 or fewer (9 drivers)
2021 #2 – 34, 26, 25, 19, 16, 13, 11 or fewer (7 drivers)
2021 #1 – 27, 25, 21, 18, 18, 17, 11 or fewer (9 drivers)
Cautions – 11, 15, 10, 14, 16, 13, 12 – Avg. 13.0
DNFs – 10, 17, 8, 9, 6, 6, 5 – Avg. 8.7
Avg Green Flag Run – 13.1 Laps
PD+FP Pts per Driver in Winning Lineup – Avg. 47.76
2024 #1 – 49.83
2023 #2 – 49.33
2023 #1 – 42.83 (Optimal Lineup)
2022 #2 – 51.17
2022 #1 – 44.33
2021 #2 – 45.17
2021 #1 – 51.67
% of Laps Led per Race in Winning Lineup – Avg. 73.6%
2024 #1 – 76.9% (193/251)
2023 #2 – 65.6% (168/256)
2023 #1 – 92.4% (231/250) (Optimal Lineup)
2022 #2 – 37.9% (102/269)
2022 #1 – 86.2% (225/261)
2021 #2 – 91.4% (235/257)
2021 #1 – 66.8% (167/250)
% of Fastest Laps per Race in Winning Lineup – Avg. 58.1%
2024 #1 – 50.9% (88/173)
2023 #2 – 61.2% (85/139)
2023 #1 – 69.2% (110/159) (Optimal Lineup)
2022 #2 – 59.9% (97/162)
2022 #1 – 67.4% (97/144)
2021 #2 – 51.2% (85/166)
2021 #1 – 49.4% (80/162)
Winning Flagship GPP Lineups
Roster Construction Strategy
Trucks
- General Thoughts
- Last race of the Round of 8 in the Playoffs
- – Grant Enfinger locked in
- – Heim, Eckes, and Majeski all look to make it to next round, barring a catastrophic issue or a win from a driver outside the cutline (Caruth, Taylor Gray, Ankrum, Sanchez)
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- 1 or 2 dominators, primary dominator for sure
- Place differential
- Could possibly do high finishing position upside if no other good place differential options
- Tournaments
- 2 main dominators at minimum
- Notch as many dominator points as possible
- 1 or 2 lower-owned drivers to well exceed value (high-finishing position upside)
Xfinity
- General Thoughts
- No Winning Lineup Data from 2023, used Optimal Lineup instead
- Last race in the Round of 8
- Austin Hill and AJ Allmendinger locked in
- Allgaier and Custer likely to make it as well unless there is chaos or a driver outside the cutline wins
- Cash
- Qualifying-dependent
- 1 or 2 dominators
- Place differential
- Might round out lineup with a driver that has high-finishing position point upside
- Tournaments
- 2 or 3 dominators, Primary and 1 or 2 secondary
- 1 or 2 lower-owned drivers w/finishing position upside or PD upside
That’s all for this edition of Raceday Strategies for the Trucks & Xfinity Series! I hope this helps everyone with their mindset as we approach building lineups for the Trucks & Xfinity Series race this weekend! One last time, these are high-level guardrails and not set-in-stone rules. We will have much more discussion in Discord as we lead up to lineup lock for these races. Not a member? Sign up today and get 50% off your first month or week of your Monthly or Weekly subscription! Good luck!
